What's new
Forums
Members
Resources
Whopper Club
Politics
Pics
Videos
Fishing Reports
Classifieds
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Members
Resources
Whopper Club
Politics
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Forums
General
General Discussion
Banks?
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="Maddog" data-source="post: 365780" data-attributes="member: 5355"><p>Many will now blame greed, capitalism, and lack of regulation, but guess what? More regulation would have done nothing because regulation and policy incentivize buying these “low risk” assets. Furthermore, regulation and monetary policy are directly responsible for the tech bubble. The increasingly elevated valuations of unprofitable tech and the allegedly unstoppable flow of capital to fund innovation and green investments would never have happened without negative real rates and massive liquidity injections. In the case of SVB, its phenomenal growth in 2021 was a direct consequence of the insane monetary policy implemented in 2020, when the major central banks increased their balance sheet to $20 trillion as if nothing would happen.</p><p></p><p><strong>SVB is a casualty of the narrative that money printing does not cause inflation and can continue forever. They embraced it wholeheartedly, and now they are gone.</strong></p><p></p><p>SVB invested in the entire bubble of everything: Sovereign bonds, MBS, and tech. Did they do it because they were stupid or reckless? No. They did it because they perceived that there was very little to no risk in those assets. No bank accumulates risk in an asset it believes is high risk. The only way in which banks accumulate risk is if they perceive that there is none. Why do they perceive no risk? Because the government, regulators, central banks, and the experts tell them there is none. Who will be next?</p><p></p><p><strong>Many will blame everything except the perverse incentives and bubbles created by monetary policy and regulation, and they will demand rate cuts and quantitative easing to solve the problem. It will only worsen. You do not solve the consequences of a bubble with more bubbles.</strong></p><p></p><p>The demise of Silicon Valley Bank highlights the enormity of the problem of risk accumulation by political design. SVB did not collapse due to reckless management, but because they did exactly what Keynesians and monetary interventionists wanted them to do. Congratulations.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Maddog, post: 365780, member: 5355"] Many will now blame greed, capitalism, and lack of regulation, but guess what? More regulation would have done nothing because regulation and policy incentivize buying these “low risk” assets. Furthermore, regulation and monetary policy are directly responsible for the tech bubble. The increasingly elevated valuations of unprofitable tech and the allegedly unstoppable flow of capital to fund innovation and green investments would never have happened without negative real rates and massive liquidity injections. In the case of SVB, its phenomenal growth in 2021 was a direct consequence of the insane monetary policy implemented in 2020, when the major central banks increased their balance sheet to $20 trillion as if nothing would happen. [B]SVB is a casualty of the narrative that money printing does not cause inflation and can continue forever. They embraced it wholeheartedly, and now they are gone.[/B] SVB invested in the entire bubble of everything: Sovereign bonds, MBS, and tech. Did they do it because they were stupid or reckless? No. They did it because they perceived that there was very little to no risk in those assets. No bank accumulates risk in an asset it believes is high risk. The only way in which banks accumulate risk is if they perceive that there is none. Why do they perceive no risk? Because the government, regulators, central banks, and the experts tell them there is none. Who will be next? [B]Many will blame everything except the perverse incentives and bubbles created by monetary policy and regulation, and they will demand rate cuts and quantitative easing to solve the problem. It will only worsen. You do not solve the consequences of a bubble with more bubbles.[/B] The demise of Silicon Valley Bank highlights the enormity of the problem of risk accumulation by political design. SVB did not collapse due to reckless management, but because they did exactly what Keynesians and monetary interventionists wanted them to do. Congratulations. [/QUOTE]
Verification
What is the most common fish caught on this site?
Post reply
Recent Posts
H
The Decline of Devils Lake
Latest: huntemup
Today at 5:52 PM
Bitcoin
Latest: Maddog
Today at 5:46 PM
Outdoor photo request
Latest: Maddog
Today at 5:42 PM
G
Hobby
Latest: garden
Today at 5:20 PM
Wood Stoves
Latest: wslayer
Today at 5:08 PM
Buying gold and silver.
Latest: sweeney
Today at 5:01 PM
NFL News (Vikings)
Latest: Maddog
Today at 4:05 PM
ICE Fishing videos
Latest: tikkalover
Today at 3:24 PM
B
Model 12 Winchester
Latest: Bauer
Today at 7:53 AM
ND concealed Weapons Permit
Latest: Maddog
Yesterday at 6:45 PM
Heated jackets
Latest: wslayer
Yesterday at 4:36 PM
T
Cheaper Lithium for FFS shuttl
Latest: Traxion
Yesterday at 12:52 PM
Newbie here.
Latest: svnmag
Tuesday at 9:00 PM
What are these things?
Latest: svnmag
Tuesday at 8:27 PM
S
F 150 Owners
Latest: snow2
Tuesday at 6:50 PM
S
Backyard chickens?
Latest: snow2
Tuesday at 4:11 PM
sharpening auger blades
Latest: risingsun
Tuesday at 3:58 PM
L
CCI Uppercut JHP ammo?
Latest: LBrandt
Tuesday at 1:26 PM
S
500,000 acre habitat program
Latest: savage270
Tuesday at 12:43 PM
D
Catfish anyone?
Latest: Downrigger
Tuesday at 8:08 AM
Seekins rifles
Latest: Jiffy
Monday at 3:23 PM
Tire inflator
Latest: 5575
Monday at 1:09 PM
A.I. Are you Excited?
Latest: Lycanthrope
Monday at 9:33 AM
Friends of NDA
Forums
General
General Discussion
Banks?
Top
Bottom