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<blockquote data-quote="NodakBuckeye" data-source="post: 212330" data-attributes="member: 714">In several forecast discussions for the last storm, forecasters stated the models had overdone snow ratios and also closed low versus open, more progressive (I hate that word) systems for the previous events this month&nbsp;&nbsp; Bismarck has been saying spreads for QPF, snow amounts and low positions are all over but they have changed forecast wording after only a couple runs showing changes for this week's storm.&nbsp;&nbsp; I think it was kinda gutsy mentioning heavy snow at times for Thursday night and Friday for my area 6-7 days out.&nbsp; They have since removed that wording; lowering pecip % chances for both days after models moved low center south and moving quicker.&nbsp; They do have a thankless job.Another 36 hours and they might nail something down, depends on what the models say and how adept the forecaster is in blending solutions, recent events, model performance and his or her gut.&nbsp; Lots of ranchers paying close attention.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="NodakBuckeye, post: 212330, member: 714"] In several forecast discussions for the last storm, forecasters stated the models had overdone snow ratios and also closed low versus open, more progressive (I hate that word) systems for the previous events this month Bismarck has been saying spreads for QPF, snow amounts and low positions are all over but they have changed forecast wording after only a couple runs showing changes for this week's storm. I think it was kinda gutsy mentioning heavy snow at times for Thursday night and Friday for my area 6-7 days out. They have since removed that wording; lowering pecip % chances for both days after models moved low center south and moving quicker. They do have a thankless job. Another 36 hours and they might nail something down, depends on what the models say and how adept the forecaster is in blending solutions, recent events, model performance and his or her gut. Lots of ranchers paying close attention. [/QUOTE]

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