From my understanding of everything, it all depends on how quickly the rains/snow melt come into the lake and how the damaged spillway holds up.
If the inflows don't get too crazy and if they can continue to release up to 100,000 CFS out of the damaged spillway, they may be OK.
I don' t know if they would push the outflow out of the damaged spillway any more than the 100,000 they have already.