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<blockquote data-quote="Zogman" data-source="post: 198876" data-attributes="member: 328"><p><strong>I like how this guy thinks!</strong></p><p></p><p></p><p>Letter: Climate theory involves many assumptionsBy Robert J. Otto Today at 8:47 a.m.</p><p>To the editor, Grand Forks Herald</p><p></p><p></p><p>Recently, you ran a column by a professor saying we and our leaders should be more concerned about anthropological catastrophic global warming. I have no doubt that humans have affected the climate by their actions; however, I question the catastrophic part.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>When I was at the university, my physical chemistry professor always emphasized when discussing any scientific law, theory or principle the importance of understanding the assumptions that went into developing the idea. If you don't understand the assumptions you can't understand when and to what extent the idea applies.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Now something as broad as global climate theory involves a lot of assumptions — and changing any one of them is apt to change the conclusions by wide margins — but we're never told what the modelers are assuming and why they selected the data points they're using.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Why? Could it be that they're selecting the assumptions that lead to the most dire results so they can scare more money out of Congress?</p><p></p><p></p><p>We're told we should just accept their results because they're experts. So what? I can remember when the Club of Rome said we were running out of everything and that there would be widespread starvation by 1996. Twenty years ago the experts were telling us that U.S. oil production had peaked and was in a long term rapid decline. We have experts running the federal reserve and a nickel ice cream cone now costs almost $2.</p><p></p><p></p><p>Experts don't have a good record.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Zogman, post: 198876, member: 328"] [B]I like how this guy thinks![/B] Letter: Climate theory involves many assumptionsBy Robert J. Otto Today at 8:47 a.m. To the editor, Grand Forks Herald Recently, you ran a column by a professor saying we and our leaders should be more concerned about anthropological catastrophic global warming. I have no doubt that humans have affected the climate by their actions; however, I question the catastrophic part. When I was at the university, my physical chemistry professor always emphasized when discussing any scientific law, theory or principle the importance of understanding the assumptions that went into developing the idea. If you don't understand the assumptions you can't understand when and to what extent the idea applies. Now something as broad as global climate theory involves a lot of assumptions — and changing any one of them is apt to change the conclusions by wide margins — but we're never told what the modelers are assuming and why they selected the data points they're using. Why? Could it be that they're selecting the assumptions that lead to the most dire results so they can scare more money out of Congress? We're told we should just accept their results because they're experts. So what? I can remember when the Club of Rome said we were running out of everything and that there would be widespread starvation by 1996. Twenty years ago the experts were telling us that U.S. oil production had peaked and was in a long term rapid decline. We have experts running the federal reserve and a nickel ice cream cone now costs almost $2. Experts don't have a good record. [/QUOTE]
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