Hey Alan I have a question for you

[dean nelson]

With your guys flood forecast I'm wondering if where the camp is did you guys factor in lake rise on top of river rise or is that more of a Corp thing. Reason I ask is we are currently two feet higher then this point in 11 so have to think we will see if a fair bit of lake rise to go with river rise an that rise if large at all will start pushing into the camp as well even if the cannonball is not all that strong..

 

[svnmag]

It's totally dependent upon temperature increase and evaporation with available egress through various barriers.

 

[BrokenBackJack]

I heard them say the Red River is expecting to flood AGAIN in the northern tier of ND.

 

[db-2]

Depends on how many and How long they are allow to stay to pee in the lake. Db

 

[Zogman]

I heard them say the Red River is expecting to flood AGAIN in the northern tier of ND.

Unless we get a lot more snow it will not happen. Ever since 97 they (NWS) is putting the cover your A$$ factor in. Minor flooding YES.

 

[dean nelson]

The red is in about the best shape sofar with not all that much snow in the head waters other then the upper Sheyenne. DL is 50/50 on a three foot rise and 25% on a new record elevation.

 

[Allen]

The official NWS forecast location is at Breien. Historical evidence suggests that the flood plain near the mouth is largely wet when the Breien gage reads about 15 ft. Backwater from Lake Oahe can also inundate the area if it gets high enough, but that is not very likely at this point.

Breien has about a 50/50 chance of getting to 15 ft with the current snowpack and near normal moisture going forward.

 

[Allen]

Unless we get a lot more snow it will not happen. Ever since 97 they (NWS) is putting the cover your A$$ factor in. Minor flooding YES.

Just curious here, but would you care to elaborate on what data you base this assessment on?

 

[dean nelson]

That would be some interesting data considering how many times I've watched them sandbagging fargo in the years since 97 on the national news!

Be curious to see how much snow this wind event can eat with temps in the mid to upper 30's. Last few days have definitely raised the snowpack temp with it being nearly two days since we dropped below 32 so should at least clear off the ridge lines a fair bit.

 

[shorthairsrus]

Pelican ramp closed for 2017 season.

 

[dean nelson]

Well with a 50/50 shot of a three foot rise and a 25% chance of a new record I wouldn't count that chicken before it hatches!

 

[tikkalover]

Allen, was that you on KX news talking about Missouri river flooding?

 

[lunkerslayer]

Pelican ramp closed for 2017 season.

The worst flood forecast the weather service has is for Devils Lake, which could see "near record" runoff, consequently rising 3 to 4 feet. The lake level at Creel Bay is now close to 1,450.3 feet above sea level and there is a 25 percent chance it will reach 1,454.3 by the fall. That's a record the lake set in June 2011. There is a 5 percent chance it will reach 1,455.1 feet.
It's going to be a great year for a good old fashion debate for shutting down ND waters during spawning, which we all know won't change a thing cuz we stock our lakes.

 

[johnr]

Isnt there an outlet so to speak on Devils lake now?

 

[Captain Ahab]

The DL basin will have a phenomenal spawn with all that runoff.

 

[lunkerslayer]

:;:exactly

 

[shorthairsrus]

idk --when i went up a few weekends ago -- i expected to see snow like bismarck --- wrong --- i seen a lot of open fields with drifts in low spots. With all the rain we got last summer that sucker barely raised the lake. IDK -- we will see what happens -- march and end of feb will tell the tale

 

[lunkerslayer]

These are the up to date depth of snow cover in north dakota notice on the lighter purple north of Devils Lake that is 3+ feet of snow cover

- - - Updated - - -

 

[Bobber]

If the lake rises enough and the ramp at Pelican Lake is useable the Fish and Game will put a dock back at that site.