Time will tell , According to the latest weather models it's "should" be. Only ran across one woolly bear so far, It had just a little black on both tips like the one in the pic . Once the leaves drop will be able to see how high off the ground the wasp nests are in the trees. I don't know how much I would depend on this for weather forecast today but it's an interesting tradition that's fun to keep tabs on. It's all they had back in the day. There are so many claims now days online but back in the day almost everyone bought an Old farmers almanac weather they could afford it or not. It was a necessity.
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http://www.almanac.com/content/predicting-winter-weather-woolly-bear-caterpillars
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http://www.almanac.com/content/predicting-winter-weather-woolly-bear-caterpillars