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Message: <blockquote data-quote="Allen" data-source="post: 488385" data-attributes="member: 389"><p>That's a tough question.  Forecasting a drought is difficult for a number of reasons, not the least of which is the fact that being dry for weeks at a times is actually very normal here in the northern Great Plains.  By definition, a drought is more than just being "dry", it has to be unusual and come with impacts.  Some of which is VERY dependent on the season of the year.  Not very many people care if we are dry in the fall for weeks at a time, same goes for winter, but being dry for weeks at a time in the spring is really hard on agriculture, especially when it comes to forage. </p><p></p><p>So, yeah, forecasting dry weather is difficult, but forecasting a drought is much more complicated as seasonality and impacts have to also be considered.</p></blockquote><p></p>

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