Be safe out there

[BDub]

9

Especially for this time of year, don't get too hung up on the CPC calling for a higher than normal chance of above normal precip in the shorter outlooks (6-10 or 8-14). Our normal for this time of year is around a half an inch per month. So something around 0.015 inches of moisture a day, on average. If there's any reasonable chance of a snow storm on a day during the listed timeframe, you are looking at about 0.1 inches of moisture for an inch and a half of snow.

Hence they call it above normal but most people would think of something more than a mere inch and a half of snow being what could result in that above normal designation.

These numbers are mostly for explanatory purposes and are not actually meant to depict any particular location, just my experience in having to use those CPC outlooks.

Agreed. They are general observations. But I still like the NWS for weather forecasts. Usually the most accurate. Above normal precipitation in March can be a different story.

 

[scrotcaster]

East end of Sak where I was today ice was 16"+

have any luck?

 

[NDSportsman]

Another thing to be careful of is with all the snow melted the ice is very slick. Took quite a spill this weekend. Need some new cleets!

 

[Lostlunker]

have any luck?

I got out there about 2:30 and caught 3 the first hour I was there and than nothing, I was marking em but they quit biting.

 

[dean nelson]

9

Agreed. They are general observations. But I still like the NWS for weather forecasts. Usually the most accurate. Above normal precipitation in March can be a different story.

I would agree with you 9 months of the year atleast as far as temps go but from now through spring they always seem to go into underestimate mode. I'm not sure if its due to a goofy model they run or just the hay its better to be low then too high type of thing. If the forcast 43 and we only hit 38 people get mad but if they forcast 38 and we hit 43 everybody is happy. This is the only time of the year I watch weather.Com for the temps that incidentally have continued to creep up.

 

[johnr]

Fished Skunk bay this weekend, the ice was around 12 inches, some guy dumped his ranger in a pressure ridge, he didn't break through to dunk it, but it was not far off. Between my friends winch, and some manpower they were able to get it out of the hole.

This ice season is a scary one.

We caught a few fish, only one keeper walleye in the 2 days/nights we fished

 

[Ericb]

getting above freezing every day this week. I'm going to go out on a limb and say 3rd weekend of February I'll be able to get my boat on the Missouri!

 

[dean nelson]

getting above freezing every day this week. I'm going to go out on a limb and say 3rd weekend of February I'll be able to get my boat on the Missouri!

I'm not sure if this is the actual line but on here it looks like its open down to a few miles north of double ditch. Wonder how the ice on the lower end of Sak is since it only got around 10 days to form before it got hit with warm weather.

 

[jdinny]

its essentially wide open from south of washburn to where river road meets 83, I assume its open further south like you say but I cont to follow 83 to bis. my o my the canadas moving up the river today.

 

[dean nelson]

Yeah the boys in South Dakota are not to happy with the way we have been hogging all the geese the last few years. Oh well their pain is our gain. Is nice though to have it set up the way we do with all the safe zones to keep the birds fat and happy and here!

 

[Riggen&Jiggen]

Fished Van Hook Sat. night and Sun. morning. Ice was 12 to 16 inches. Many pressure ridges. Had to cross about 8 of them to get to our spot. No snow made it easier to find safe spots to cross. Never would of tried it without gps so we could follow are track back to shore. Fishing was really good. On the way off we talked to some guys and good thing for them because they had there directions totally reversed. Like a few of you mentioned earlier if we don't receive anymore significant cold spells this winter we are going to have a very early ice off.

 

[gr8outdoors]

Temps in single digits to mid teens over night all this week, should be OK for a little while longer. Fingers crossed.

 

[dean nelson]

Depends on what forcast you look at. Some have us in Bismarck at 16,19,23,27,32,21 through the weekend. Hell the National Weather Service had Bismarck at 27 for a high today but our overnight low was 28 so kind of shot that forcast to hell from the start. Yesterday they were off by 9 degrees from what they said we would get for a high at 10am to where we actually ended up. So far they are off by atleast five degrees today even though they changed our forecasted high now to 30 even though they were reporting 32 at the time! Now that almost makes sense!