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<blockquote data-quote="Allen" data-source="post: 208286" data-attributes="member: 389">I don't know if I would necessarily call it &quot;better&quot;, it does have differences though. I think the better way to characterize it though is that at any given point in time, the mets looking at the models tend to prefer one over the other because, well...that's their professional take on things and what they get paid to do. So you will see the GFS being favored one week, with the ECWMF being the favorite the following based on recent history of getting storm tracks/timing/amounts closer than the GFS. They also have &quot;blends&quot; which combine different models, in looking at those you tend to get an idea of why WPC may have a slightly broader paintbrush than local forecasts.In my humble experiences with the two most popular models, I don't really have a favorite either. In general I just like to say that all models are wrong, but they are useful in understanding possible outcomes, and even then I still prefer blonde models the most.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="Allen, post: 208286, member: 389"] I don't know if I would necessarily call it "better", it does have differences though. I think the better way to characterize it though is that at any given point in time, the mets looking at the models tend to prefer one over the other because, well...that's their professional take on things and what they get paid to do. So you will see the GFS being favored one week, with the ECWMF being the favorite the following based on recent history of getting storm tracks/timing/amounts closer than the GFS. They also have "blends" which combine different models, in looking at those you tend to get an idea of why WPC may have a slightly broader paintbrush than local forecasts. In my humble experiences with the two most popular models, I don't really have a favorite either. In general I just like to say that all models are wrong, but they are useful in understanding possible outcomes, and even then I still prefer blonde models the most. [/QUOTE]

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