Beef prices going up????

Davy Crockett

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So it looks like we need more cattle producers. I would think that should be easy for this country, but what are some of the hurdles?
It's easier to sit in a tractor or combine for an extra day or two in a year than it is to feed cattle year around. My renter runs about 400 head and is a good sized grain farmer, they are busy 365 days out of the year.
 


Sluggo

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Way more land used for farming now days than raising livestock. You’d think if raising beans and corn for cash on 10-20 quarters wasn’t paying off, one would consider switching gears and raising livestock on some of it. Like others have said tho, grain farming is less of a time commitment than livestock.
 

Pheasant 54

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I have a couple farmer/rancher friends that sold their whole herds due to price ,told me the price was too good to pass up these guys do not go south for the winter either
 

NDSportsman

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$426M Tyson Beef Collapse Shuts Nebraska’s Biggest Plant—Entire Town Loses 4,900 Workers
Tyson Foods officially announced the permanent closure of its massive beef processing facility in Lexington, Nebraska. This decisive move will result in the elimination of approximately 3,200 jobs when the gates close in January 2026.
Executives stated that shrinking cattle supplies made the closure inevitable, marking a devastating end to a factory that has anchored the local economy for over three decades.

The restructuring efforts extend well beyond Nebraska, impacting operations across the company's beef network. Tyson is simultaneously reducing its Amarillo, Texas, facility to a single daily shift, affecting an additional 1,700 workers.

When combined, these aggressive measures impact nearly 4,900 employees total, effectively removing about 9% of the company’s total beef slaughter capacity in a single strategic maneuver.

This shutdown represents a significant turning point for the "Big Four" meatpackers, who control 85% of the American market. After years of maintaining excess capacity to capture market share, the industry is finally contracting.

Tyson is the first major player to blink, acknowledging that the current agricultural cycle can no longer support the massive infrastructure built during boom times.

Recent financial reports highlight the severe economic pressure driving this decision. Tyson’s beef segment reported a shocking adjusted operating loss of $426 million for the 2025 fiscal year.

This represents a dramatic collapse for a division that was historically the company’s primary profit engine, forcing leadership to take immediate, drastic action to stop the significant financial bleeding.

The corporate outlook for the coming fiscal year offers little hope for immediate recovery. Tyson projects its beef segment will lose an additional $400 million to $600 million in fiscal 2026.

With operational costs rising by billions of dollars year-over-year, the company determined that it simply cannot afford to keep older, less efficient plants running while bleeding cash every quarter.

Despite the devastating news for workers, financial markets reacted positively to the restructuring plan. Tyson’s stock price climbed approximately 7% following the announcement, as investors welcomed the focus on efficiency.

Analysts view the capacity reduction as a necessary correction that will ultimately improve margins at the remaining plants by eliminating the overhead costs associated with underutilized facilities.

The fundamental driver of this collapse is an unprecedented shortage of livestock. The U.S. cattle herd has plummeted to 86.7 million head, hitting its lowest level in over seventy years.

Persistent drought conditions across the Great Plains withered pastures and spiked feed prices, forcing ranchers to liquidate their herds rather than face bankruptcy, leaving packers with empty feedlots.

Rebuilding the national herd is a slow biological process that cannot be artificially accelerated. Because ranchers must retain female cattle for breeding instead of sending them to slaughter, the immediate beef supply will tighten even further.

Experts warn that meaningful inventory recovery will not occur until 2027, ensuring that processing plants will continue fighting for scarce livestock.

The scarcity of available cattle has driven purchase prices to record highs, crushing processor margins. Tyson reported that its cost of goods sold increased by nearly $2 billion, primarily driven by the high cost of livestock.

With too many factories competing for a shrinking pool of animals, the industry reached a breaking point where closing plants became the only viable financial option.

For the small community of Lexington, the closure is nothing short of an economic catastrophe. The plant employs nearly one-third of the city's 11,000 residents, serving as the region's financial heartbeat.

Local leaders described the announcement as a "gut punch," noting that every business, from car dealerships to grocery stores, relies heavily on the wages generated within the plant.

The closure threatens to unravel decades of unique demographic growth in rural Nebraska. The plant attracted thousands of immigrant workers over the course of thirty years, creating a diverse community that is now nearly 50% Hispanic.

Families who moved there for stable union jobs now face displacement, threatening to hollow out the town as workers are forced to move elsewhere.

The local school district is bracing for a potential exodus of students next semester. Administrators estimate that up to half of the 3,000 enrolled students could leave if their parents relocate for work.

Such a drastic decline in enrollment would severely reduce state funding, potentially leading to school closures and exacerbating the long-term economic disaster facing the community.

American consumers are feeling the pain alongside the workers, though in a different way. Beef prices at grocery stores have surged to record highs, with ground beef surpassing $6 per pound.

While packers lose money due to operational inefficiencies, families are paying 17% more for steaks than last year, creating a painful disconnect between corporate losses and checkout prices.

Despite these soaring prices, consumer appetite for beef remains surprisingly resilient across the country. Americans spent over $40 billion on fresh beef in 2024, despite inflation, refusing to cut back significantly.

However, this strong demand was not enough to save the Lexington plant, as the structural costs of the cattle shortage simply outweighed the revenue from higher prices.

As the January deadline looms, thousands of workers face a difficult and uncertain future. Tyson has promised job fairs and relocation assistance to other facilities, but moving requires uprooting entire families.

For many in Lexington, the choice is between leaving the community they love or facing unemployment, a stark reality created by a $426 million corporate loss.
Meanwhile....

Tyson Foods CEO Donnie King's total compensation for fiscal year 2024 was $22.77 million, which includes a base salary of approximately $1.45 million and a bonus of nearly $6 million. The remaining compensation came from stock and options awards, which totaled around $14.76 million.
 




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