Christmas Blizzard

[Kickemup]

Well it's stacking up to be about the worst case scenario for the critters here in VC land. We had 35 degrees and it F'n RAINED here at the house today. We now have a nice hard icy crust on the snow. With a fair to middlin' chance to add a foot or so of snow on TOP of that crust, it's not a real positive outlook. I hope the forecasts are wrong, cuz if they aren't, the critters are going to have a DEVIL of a time digging through all that to find some grub. Every rooster I shot these past 2 days had full crops so they were doing fine to this point. Don't know how widespread the temps and rain were, but I hope the fields melted open enough with the temps and wind to moderate this next event should it arrive as predicted.

Most of of the fields opened up in my area today. We probably lost a couple inches of snow all around. Most of the lake is clear of snow also after today with the 45 mph wind we had.

 

[shorthairsrus]

NOAA has updated the forecast showing the snowing ending mid-late Monday. The wind predictions have also gotten worse. Just called ma and we're cutting Christmas short, heading back to our place late Saturday or maybe early Sunday.

Metoo

 

[Enslow]

Yup might as well call into work and hunt nonstop the next few days. Thin out the competition!

Yes im off friday and hoping to get my deer so i can focus on fishing again.

 

[Bed Wetter]

We could have it allot worse.... I lived in Valdez for a couple years its a trip to get 10' over a weekend.

Where's Valdez? That's nuts.

 

[NodakBuckeye]

SE Alaska

 

[Bed Wetter]

SE Alaska

Makes sense. It sounds very Alaskan.

 

[shorthairsrus]

Q do they shut down his expressway during Blizzard conditions. Fargo generally doesn't shut down anything but interstate MN shuts it down and makes it illegal to drive if bad enough. Can one get over bridge legally is my q if conditions r bad

- - - Updated - - -

Bis expressway that is

 

[Fisherman25]

000
FXUS63 KBIS 220931
AFDBIS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
331 AM CST Thu Dec 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 327 AM CST Thu Dec 22 2016

Currently...mild pacific high pressure encompassed much of the
western US, with low pressure over central/northern Canada moving
east. This has set up a fast westerly upper/mid/low level flow
across the Northern Plains. West to southwest winds across western
and central ND ranged from mainly 5 to 20 mph, and were mixing the
lower atmosphere and keeping temperatures in the teens and 20s.

Warm advection today from the southwest should allow temperatures to
rise into the mid and upper 30s in the southwest...and in the lower
30s north and east of the Missouri River.

Tonight a cold front extending from the central/northern Canadian
low moves southeast and approaches northwestern ND towards daybreak
Friday. Light winds and fairly clear skies should allow temperatures
to drop to 5 to 15 across western and much of central ND.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 327 AM CST Thu Dec 22 2016

A potential major Christmas winter storm highlights the long term
forecast...with significant accumulating snow, strong winds, and
blowing snow in the forecast. A blizzard watch will be issued for
western and central ND from Christmas (Sunday) morning through noon
on Monday.

On Friday a fast-moving upper level shortwave and associated cold
front will sweep southeast across ND. High temperatures will be
seasonable with highs mainly in the 20s and lows Friday night around
5 to 10 above zero.

Brief upper level ridging occurs early Saturday before southwest
flow develops Saturday night (Christmas Eve). This is in response to
the longwave trough that arrives at the west coast Friday night and
continues deepening as it begins crossing the Rockies on Saturday.

As the trough continues to deepen, expect an upper level low to
close off near the base and lift north northeast into the
central and northern plains states. Cyclogenesis will develop an
associated surface low on the lee side of the Rockies. Chances of
light precipitation will begin in northwestern and north central
ND Saturday afternoon with the initial arrival of shortwave
energy and lifting along a low level frontal boundary that sets
up across northern ND.

As we move into the overnight hours on Saturday and into Sunday
(Christmas Day), the surface low will continue to deepen as it lifts
northeast into South Dakota. Over the last several runs, models have
come into better agreement regarding precipitation location, with
growing confidence that this has the potential to become a
widespread and significant winter storm across the northern plains.
Confidence has increased again with the 00z model suite for today`s
forecast package. We think there is a better than 50% chance of
significant snowfall, strong winds, and blowing snow over most, if
not all, of western and central ND.

The GEFS plumes continue to suggest 0.8 to 1 inch of liquid precip
at Bismarck and 1 to 1.2 inches at Jamestown. A widespread area of
6+ inches of accumulating snow is forecast Saturday night through
Monday morning. The strongest winds are forecast to occur on
Christmas Day in the afternoon, and especially Christmas night
(Sunday night) before decreasing gradually on Monday.

The storm will depart the region by late Monday, with colder
conditions on the back side. The cold will be short lived, as
temperatures will likely moderate again by the middle of the work
week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1216 AM CST Thu Dec 22 2016

Expect VFR conditions at all sites through the period. A west to
southwest surface flow should persist through Thursday evening.
Strong west winds aloft will create some low level wind shear this
morning.


&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Blizzard Watch from Sunday morning through Monday morning for
NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JV
LONG TERM...JV
AVIATION...JV

 

[wildeyes]

no they don't. you can travel both bridges no matter how deep the snow gets.

 

[Fisherman25]

Unfortunately, it appear the models are holding true. Going to be a rough end to the 2016 fishing season.

- - - Updated - - -

Q do they shut down his expressway during Blizzard conditions. Fargo generally doesn't shut down anything but interstate MN shuts it down and makes it illegal to drive if bad enough. Can one get over bridge legally is my q if conditions r bad

- - - Updated - - -

Bis expressway that is

I have never seen them officially close the bridge during a storm. Not to say they haven't, but I haven't seen it.

 

[guywhofishes]

Will likely requires snowmobiles to ice fish after this.

Hee hee.

 

[Fisherman25]

Will likely requires snowmobiles to ice fish after this.

Hee hee.

I was just thinking about ordering a auger rack for the sled. Might as well go for it. Even if the ice isn't too covered, the access points will be done for mostly.

 

[guywhofishes]

I was just thinking about ordering a auger rack for the sled. Might as well go for it. Even if the ice isn't too covered, the access points will be done for mostly.

Digger Anchors makes a good one IMO.

 

[DirtyMike]

Boy this sucks. And my pickup chooses when 4wd will work. Also, I need to steal my father in laws sled.

 

[Captain Ahab]

Looks like I will put a new belt on my track machine just for piece of mind. Might get some use this year.

 

[shorthairsrus]

Se might not get it to bad

 

[Ericb]

Q do they shut down his expressway during Blizzard conditions. Fargo generally doesn't shut down anything but interstate MN shuts it down and makes it illegal to drive if bad enough. Can one get over bridge legally is my q if conditions r bad

- - - Updated - - -

Bis expressway that is

Ive never seen it. Even when the interstate is closed you can still usually travel between bis and mandan on it.

 

[3Roosters]

Makes sense. It sounds very Alaskan.

Exxon Valdez oil tanker spill ring a bell?

 

[Duckslayer100]

We're officially changing our plans. Heading to the Shitties tonight, coming back Saturday evening. Short and sweet and then spending Christmas Day and Monday at home in Fargo. Even if this storm stays further west, I'm just not keen on driving through ice and snow or their aftermath...especially with little kiddos.

Bright side, if this doesn't mess us up too bad, I may get a post-Christmas rooster shoot in after all! Fingers crossed.

 

[LBrandt]

Deep freeze is full, check. Beer and Brandy in good supply, check. All 4X4 gassed and ready, check. Bills are paid with money left over, check. Enough meds for 90 days, check. Enough heating fuel, check. Extra gas for snow blower, check. Remember blizzard of 66, check. F----t, let her rip. Be safe everone and have a Merry Christmas and a better New Year.:;:thumbsup