Missouri River rise

[deleted member]

 

[dean nelson]

Yeah wouldn't put to much fath in that. The bis radar is saying 15 for the same spot. They tend to get thrown off by large amounts of hail. Did see At least one confirmed report of 4.5 out of there so definitely some water on the move and some seriously toast fields I'm sure.

 

[Allen]

I had a convo with someone early yesterday about the incoming rain. Basically wondering if I was concerned about it.

I said, naw....not so long as a 4-6 inch storm doesn't track lengthwise down Sak.




Oh for fucks sake!

 

[tikkalover]

On the news this am it reported that Garrison had 3.45". I can see the mosquito population increasing big time here soon.

 

[eyexer]

I have never seen it rain this hard in Williston since I've lived here. Literally could not drive down the highway. She's going over the spillway boys I'm telling ya.

 

[dean nelson]

So are we going to start like some sort of baby pool here trying to pick the day and time the corp ounces the next 10 to 15 thousand.

On a side note anyone who wants to shoot carp from the shower head down to Sibley good got her there a ton of them and far swing by there.

 

[deleted member]

that little spot was parked in the exact same place for nearly 4 hours before the big storm caught up to it and swept it along with it. i wouldn't be one bit surprised to hear someone had 8 inches in a gauge.

 

[ndfinfan]

Curious to see the drought map after the next update. Do hope the majority of fields make it through and can produce tho.

 

[Obi-Wan]

Two charts off the Corp web page and show drastically different inflow projections into the big lake the next couple days
which one are we to believe

 

[Allen]

Obi,

You can always calculate it for yourself.

 

[Obi-Wan]

Obi,

You can always calculate it for yourself.

just asking why they would put out two different amounts no need to get your panties in a bunch

 

[dean nelson]

Two charts off the Corp web page and show drastically different inflow projections into the big lake the next couple days
which one are we to believe

Ahhhhh 1853.1 vs 1853.1 am I missing something Here? Especially considering one of those charts doesn't even show in flow rates just current lake and projected lake levels!

 

[Obi-Wan]

Ahhhhh 1853.1 vs 1853.1 am I missing something Here? Especially considering one of those charts doesn't even show in flow rates just current lake and projected lake levels!

Both charts show inflow rates check again

 

[dean nelson]

Ok so seriously here not trying to pick a fight with you I literally do have a question. I'm just trying to figure out how your extrapolating out cubic feet per second in flo into the reservoir off of that second graph. The line they have on there even though they have it marked as in fow it is in fact just the ark of Max water elevation over the next week and a half and does not seem to give any indication of the actual amount of the flow coming in unless it's hidden somewhere and I can't find it..... which is always fully possible!

 

[dean nelson]

Interesting to see oahe taking in 70,000 CFS but only letting out 22,000. Bet the corp is feeling a little squeezed on that one.

 

[JayKay]

Ok so seriously here not trying to pick a fight with you I literally do have a question. I'm just trying to figure out how your extrapolating out cubic feet per second in flo into the reservoir off of that second graph. The line they have on there even though they have it marked as in fow it is in fact just the ark of Max water elevation over the next week and a half and does not seem to give any indication of the actual amount of the flow coming in unless it's hidden somewhere and I can't find it..... which is always fully possible!

Look at the second chart that Obi posted. There are 6 diagrams. check the lower one in the second column. Shows CFS.

The red line is inflow, the blue is outflow. The dashed lines are "predicted".

I THINK I'm seeing what you're asking about. If not, then I'm confused too.

In my little mind, the important thing is to note that the inflows at Ft Peck and at Garrison are dropping rapidly in the next few days. Moreso than numbers, you can see the trend, and it's a good one.

Of course, some would like to see the Bismarck Dipshits get flooded, so there's that.

 

[dean nelson]

Yeah that was a Roseanne Barr Ambien post kid you not. I've seen that graph for years but hadn't noticed they changed the setup on it because it used to be the five main stem reservoirs on the first page and the second page was various inflows and outflows but they clearly change that format at some point in the last god knows when.

That said like you said the numbers do still match. Looking at the graph today the lake has definitely leveled off and is barely Rising which is good because the lower Missouri is flooding so well there is 60,000 going through Bismarck today there is only 21,000 going through Pierre and only like 29 through Yankton.

 

[Achucker]

Interesting to see oahe taking in 70,000 CFS but only letting out 22,000. Bet the corp is feeling a little squeezed on that one.

I believe I read somewhere they were increasing flows to something like 50000 this week

 

[Obi-Wan]

I believe I read somewhere they were increasing flows to something like 50000 this week

Looks like still in the 40's late in the month

 

[Paddledogger]

Looking at the projections, it looks like next Tuesday is the day where the inflow and outflow (discharge) should be equal at 60,000 cfs.

http://www.nwd-mr.usace.army.mil/rcc/reports/twregfcast.pdf

With the forecast of a dry spell for a bit, that should help keep the COE from needing to increase the release and they should be able to either maintain the release the forecast shows or even reduce it to 55,000 to help the river concerns a little bit.

Enjoy the heat everybody! Stay SAFE and keep yourself hydrated. Speaking from someone who suffered heat exhaustion, it is OK to drink a beer, then glass/bottle of water before the next barley pop. HAPPY HOOKIN!!! #$%^&>