Talking big snow out west I hope it hits and that canada gets a bunch they are bad dry.
As much as i dont like it we could use a good dumping of nice wet snow that melts two days latter or its going to get bad fast. The may pond count is not looking good for both dakotas and horrible in Canada. Talk of a shortened waterfowl season if it does not get better. That would suckHeavy snow can stay in Canada.
I am more worried about pot holes and small sloughs.If you overlay the respective watersheds on that GFS depiction of expected snow, most of what Montana receives will fall outside of the Missouri and Yellowstone watersheds. 2-4 inches on the plains of MT and ND will be hardly a blip on the Missouri River and the respective reservoirs.
Then again, at this point we'll take what we can get.
The GFS has had storms for us late in the run all winter. But they never pan out. One of these days one will. We need it.
And the next run shows barely anything in the same timeframe. Pretty bleak for moisture it looks like.LOL, ain't that the truth. I had a seasoned meteorologist tell me years ago that if we lived on days 7-10 of the GFS, Earth would be uninhabitable. There's some wisdom in his observations.
90 days laterLots of fog the week before Christmas. Spring equinox blizzard is coming.
CA should think about building more reservoirsI think the European ECMF model is more realistic.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=qpf_acc-imp&rh=2024022900&fh=84
Granted, I just took a look at the longer term GFS model and it's pretty optimistic now going out to mid-March.