Obi - as of December 2017 - the archery tags and success rates have NO impact on determining how many rifle tags are allocated.
I posted this earlier in this thread and will post it again.
Question
Do the archery tags being issued today, have any impact on the number of licenses available for rifle tags/gratis tags?
Answer
It’s possible but probably not a big factor at this point. We use several different methods to determine how many deer tags to issue each year, are the number of deer being harvested by archers making a difference in the overall number of deer on the landscape which would then make a difference in the number of licenses being issued for gun tags? A number of years ago I would say that answer was most definitely a no, but the harvest associated with archery hunting has also increased a fair amount over the last 10 years to where we can no longer say that number is insignificant.
Also adding this again since it does apply to your post.
Question
If that plan were to have been implemented, there may have been X number (past discussions said it might be 7,000 to 10,000) of bow hunters that were no longer in the lottery due to wanting to keep the statewide bow option. If that were to have happened, would that simply have reduced the number of people in the lottery OR would it have actually increased the tags in the lottery?
Answer
The idea behind the one deer plan was to reduce the competition in the gun lottery, not add licenses to the lottery due to a lower number of bow licenses being sold.